Accra:Research firm Global InfoAnalytics has released its inaugural forecast using the Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) model for the 2028 parliamentary elections in Ghana. The model projects that the governing National Democratic Congress (NDC) will secure 154 seats.
According to Ghana Web, the opposition New Patriotic Party (NPP) is predicted to win 100 parliamentary seats. Additionally, two constituencies are classified as toss-ups, and 20 seats remain undisclosed out of the total 276 parliamentary seats.
The data indicates that the NDC holds 55.8 percent of the total seats, while the NPP commands 36.2 percent. The undisclosed constituencies represent 7.2 percent, and toss-up seats account for 0.7 percent of the total composition. Executive Director Mussa Dankwa provided these preliminary projections based on the firm’s statistical framework.
The regional breakdown reveals that 20 seats remain undisclosed across 10 regions, with two seats categorized as toss-ups in the Ashanti and Bono regions. The Eastern Region has the highest number of undisclosed seats with five, followed by the Ashanti Region with four undisclosed seats and one toss-up seat. The Western Region accounts for three undisclosed seats, and the Upper East Region has two.
Single undisclosed seats are found in several regions, including the Bono Region, which also has a toss-up seat, as well as Central, Greater Accra, Oti, Upper West, and Western North regions. The regional matrix accounts for a total of 20 undisclosed and two toss-up seats nationwide. Political analysts are closely monitoring these developments as further details about the parliamentary seat projections emerge.